Variable

Bailey model (n = 1800)

Updated Model (n = 2200)

Estimate

P-value

Partial R²

Estimate

P-value

Partial R²

Intercept / HA

13.4 ± 1.9

<.0001

13.9 ± 1.8

<.0001

Average Ever

.6 ± .1

<.0001

17.3%

.6 ± .06

<.0001

20.7%

Class

-29.6 ± 6.7

<.0001

1.2%

-25.1 ± 5.9

<.0001

1.0%

Experience

.2 ± .1

.002

0.4%

.2 ± .07

.0003

0.4%

Ave. last 10

.1 ± .04

.003

0.4%

.2 ± .04

<.0001

0.7%

Neutral Venue

-8.6 ± 3.2

.007

0.3%

-8.2 ± 3.2

.005

0.3%

Total R²

19.6%

23.1%