Table 3. Multivariate model predicting the total of the team batting first.

Variable

Estimate

P-value

Partial R2

Ave. MOV against opposition

.13 ± .04

<.0001

9.7%

Exp. Smooth past totals 1st inning batting  team

.25 ± .04

<.0001

3.6%

Ave. total conceded in 1st inning by bowling team

.53 ± .06

<.0001

2.6%

Home Country

15.3 ± 2.3

<.0001

1.6%

Ave. MOV ever

.31 ± .05

<.0001

1.1%

Exp. Smooth past totals 1st inning at venue

.38 ± .05

.0004

.5%

Total R2

19.1 %