Table 1. How to calculate estimated equity.

 

Team Scored a Goal, Centre Bounce follows

Team Scored a Behind, Opposition will Kick-In

Event Count

31236

26160

Discard (no further score)

2376

2064

Team Goal (+6)

8340

7045

Team Behind (+1)

6823

5803

Opposition Goal (-6)

7435

6065

Opposition Behind (-1)

6262

5183

Sum of Next Scores

5991

6500

Sum of Squares

580985

482946

Equity Mean Estimate

.208

.270

Standard Error in Mean

.026

.029