"Relative age" refers to the age difference between individuals grouped together for a particular activity (Barnsley et al., 1985). The immediate and long-term effects of these differences among individuals are termed the "Relative Age Effect", abbreviated as "RAE" (Cobley et al., 2009). With continued research into the RAE, researches consistently shows that the presence and impact of RAE are widespread across sports. Cobley et al. (2009) and Smith et al. (2018), among others, conducted meta-analyses on the prevalence and magnitude of RAE in sports, considering factors such as gender, age, competitive level, skill level, and sports discipline. The results outline the basic understanding of RAE in sports: females tend to have slightly lower RAE values than males; there is a generally higher risk of RAE before adulthood, with the risk gradually decreasing or becoming insignificant after adulthood; the popularity and competitiveness of a sport are positively correlated with the risk of RAE; and sports with higher skill requirements are associated with lower RAE risks. Track and field as a widely practiced sport with numerous events worldwide, continues to be the subject of research confirming the basic RAE patterns observed in other sports domains (Raschner et al., 2012; Romann and Cobley, 2015; Albuquerque et al., 2015; Brazo-Sayavera et al., 2016; 2018; Kearney et al., 2018; Brustio et al., 2019; 2024b; Bezuglov et al., 2024). Multiple hypotheses have been proposed to explain the RAE (Musch and Grondin, 2001; Hancock et al., 2013), but the one most supported is the "maturation selection hypothesis" (Cobley et al., 2009). Just as in most sports, higher stature, body weight (to some extent), aerobic capacity, muscle strength, endurance, and speed provide performance advantages (Malina et al., 2007). Both the high jump and long jump events primarily rely on the combination of running and jumping techniques, but the technical execution in the high jump is more complex (Boccia et al., 2017). In terms of running and jumping abilities, boys experience accelerated growth from ages 12 to 13 (running) or 14 (jumping), with the growth rate slowing down by age 18. In contrast, girls show a gradual decline in growth rate from age 12, reaching a plateau around age 16 (Tønnessen et al., 2015). From age 14 onwards, boys outperform (countermovement jump and squat jump) girls in jumping due to longer legs and greater leg muscle mass (Temfemo et al., 2009). And Boccia et al., (2017) demonstrated that high jump and long jump performances progress to a similar degree to jumping abilities measured with typical field tests like counter movement jumps. The period of rapid growth in jumping ability during adolescence is also the stage with the highest prevalence of the RAE (Cobley et al., 2009). Coaches, as the primary selectors, tend to equate physical advantages with athletic talent (Furley and Memmert, 2015). Additionally, to achieve better results, they actively favor athletes with "maturity advantages" (Hancock et al., 2013). Therefore, due to early physiological advantages, athletes who are relatively older and develop earlier have a greater advantage in selection, thus increasing their chances of being chosen (Lovell et al., 2015). However, among the selected athletes, while the RAE is generally present, only a few younger athletes (U12, U14) show significant differences in physical abilities (Lovell et al., 2015). Most athletes do not exhibit differences in physical abilities (Hirose, 2009; Deprez et al., 2013; Ulbricht et al., 2015). Social factors such as coaches, parents, and athletes themselves exacerbate the occurrence of the RAE (Hancock et al., 2013). Wattie et al. (2015) suggested that environmental constraints affecting RAE include broader social structures, such as the physical environment, socio-cultural factors (sport popularity, competition level), policies, and the influence of key figures in the athlete's life. In terms of athletic performance, the studies demonstrated that the risk of RAE among world-class track and field athletes decreases with age and as the level of competition rises. While RAE is significantly present across various events at the U18 and U20 stages, its incidence notably declines in the senior category (Brustio et al., 2019; Bezuglovet al., 2024). However, within the same events and age groups, the level of RAE increases as athletic performance improves (i.e., from the top 25% to the top 10%) (Brustio et al., 2024a). In exploring the reasons for the significant decline in RAE from adolescence to the professional stage, it was found that in youth sports such as basketball (Arrieta et al., 2016; Ibáñez et al., 2018), soccer (González-Víllora et al., 2015), skiing (Fumarco et al., 2017), and the 60-meter sprint (Romann and Cobley, 2015), RAE has been shown to be linked to athletic performance. Relatively older athletes tend to perform better, and their teams also achieve superior results. However, relatively younger athletes typically transition to higher-level competitions at a greater rate than their older counterparts (Cobley et al., 2009). This phenomenon is referred to as "reversal of advantage" (McCarthy and Collins, 2014) or "Underdog effect" (Gibbs et al., 2012). Multiple studies have confirmed that relatively younger athletes in football are more likely to be selected by professional teams and reach elite levels (Coutts et al., 2014; Boccia et al., 2017; 2023; Brustio et al., 2023b). Research by Brustio et al. (2023a) on the transition rates of athletes in sprinting and jumping events from junior to professional competitions indicates that relatively younger athletes demonstrated higher transition rates compared to relatively older athletes. Additionally, there are intercontinental differences in transition rates. The phenomenon of 'advantage reversal' also appears in sports like rugby (McCarthy and Collins, 2014), cricket (McCarthy et al., 2016), and ice hockey (Gibbs et al., 2012). The cause of this phenomenon may be the increased injury rates among relatively older athletes (Vaeyens et al., 2005; Wattie et al., 2007). It could also be attributed to relatively younger athletes overcoming the physical disadvantage posed by the relative age difference in the early stages of their athletic development, benefiting from it in competition. Gibbs et al., (2012) and others refer to this phenomenon as the "Underdog effect," where younger athletes initially perceived as disadvantaged due to their relative age ultimately gain an advantage as the physical development gap narrows with age. Additionally, athletes' ability to endure adversity and excel in high-level challenges during their developmental stages is considered a precursor to "success" across various sports (McCarthy et al., 2016). In recent years, there has been increasing evidence indicating that success in youth athletics does not necessarily guarantee success throughout an athlete's entire career (Boccia et al., 2021a; 2021b; Brustio et al., 2019; 2024b). For instance, Boccia et al. (2021a) analyzed the performance differences and mutual occupation ratios between the top 50 youth (U18) and professional jump athletes worldwide. Results showed low transition rates from youth to professional levels: 8% for males and 16% for females. Moreover, the proportion of professional athletes who ranked in the top 50 in youth competitions was also low (8% for males, 16% for females). In terms of performance, professional athletes significantly outperformed their younger counterparts as age increased. Boccia et al (2017) conducted a rank of the top 200 high jump and long jump athletes in Italy from 1994 to 2014. Results indicated that only 10-25% of adult top-level athletes reached elite performance levels at the age of 16. Among the top young athletes at 16 years old, approximately 60% did not maintain the same level of performance in adulthood. Boccia et al (2017) argued that early specialization does not provide a significant advantage for long-term success, as the proportion of athletes who succeed in youth and continue to do so in adulthood is very low. However, whether the success gained from early specialization provides an advantage for athletes who have already achieved success in their professional careers remains a topic worthy of further investigation. In this research context, the main objective of this study is to analyze the differences in RAE prevalence among world-class high jump and long jump athletes across events, gender, and regions (continents), and its relationship with athletic performance. Additionally, the study further explores the issue of transition rates. It examines whether the early athletic performance of successful senior athletes was also successful, and analyzes the differences in RAE incidence and performance between athletes in the AS group and the SS group. |